The Matchday 10 Premier League clash between Burnley and Arsenal will take place on November 1 at Turf Moor. Burnley vs. Arsenal: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Burnley
Scott Parker's side capitalized on their schedule, which presented them with back-to-back matches against fellow lower-table competitors. They first defeated Leeds at home (2-0) and then snatched a last-minute victory against Wolverhampton away, scoring the winning goal in the 95th minute (3-2). The last time the club won at least two consecutive Premier League matches was in April 2022. As a result, Burnley climbed to 16th place, pulling five points clear of the relegation zone.
- The club has failed to win 10 of their last 13 Premier League encounters (2 draws and 8 losses).
- Both teams have scored in 4 of Burnley's last 5 league games.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 6 of the club's last 8 home Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Burnley (4-2-3-1)
Martin Dubravka – Axel Tuanzebe, Kyle Walker, Quilindschy Hartman, Maxime Estève – Lesley Ugochukwu, Florentino – Josh Cullen, Jacob Bruun Larsen, Jaidon Anthony – Zian Flemming.
Arsenal
The Gunners' winning streak in the Premier League has extended to four matches. During this period, the club has secured three clean-sheet victories. Additionally, the London side remains unbeaten in six consecutive league games (5 wins and 1 draw). They have further increased their lead over the nearest challenger to four points. It's also worth mentioning that Mikel Arteta's side boasts the best defense in the league, having conceded only three goals.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of the Gunners' last 7 league matches.
- At least one team failed to score in 7 of Arsenal's last 9 Premier League games.
- The Londoners have suffered just one defeat in their last 18 away Premier League matches (10 wins and 7 draws).
Predicted lineup for Arsenal (4-3-3)
David Raya – Jurrien Timber, Gabriel Magalhães, William Saliba, Riccardo Calafiori – Martín Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Eberechi Eze – Leandro Trossard, Viktor Gyökeres, Bukayo Saka.
Forwards Kai Havertz, Noni Madueke, and Gabriel Jesus, as well as midfielder Martin Ødegaard, are injured.
Referee
Chris Kavanagh (England)
Matches – 32 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 137;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 6;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 16%.
Burnley vs. Arsenal: Match Prediction
It's important not to overestimate Scott Parker's back-to-back victories. After all, they managed to overcome their closest survival rivals in the Premier League. Burnley has yet to compete on equal terms with clubs vying for at least a European spot and had been consistently losing prior to these matches. In this encounter, they will face the league leader, who is in excellent form.
Besides their frequent wins, the Gunners often secure victories with clean sheets. Burnley's attack has never been particularly prolific in the Premier League. Therefore, I anticipate a confident win for the visitors, possibly even a large-margin victory. The last time these teams met in the Premier League was in the 2023/24 season, with the London side winning both encounters: 3-1 at home and 5-0 away.
My prediction – Arsenal with a handicap (-1.5)
