The Matchday 13 clash in the Premier League between Brighton and Southampton will take place on November 29 at the Amex Stadium in Falmer. Brighton vs. Southampton: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Robert Jones (England)
Matches – 8 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 38%.
Predicted lineups for Brighton vs. Southampton
Brighton (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen – Joel Veltman, Jan Paul van Hecke, Pervis Estupinan, Igor Julio – Carlos Baleba, Yasin Ayari – Kaoru Mitoma, Jorginho Rutter, Joao Pedro – Danny Welbeck.
Southampton (4-4-2): Alex McCarthy – Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Kyle Walker-Peters, Jack Stephens, Ryan Fraser – Mateusz Fernandes, Adam Lallana, Flynn Downes, Tyler Dibling – Adam Armstrong, Paul Onuachu.
The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.
Brighton
Fabian Hurzeler's side secured two consecutive 2-1 victories in their last two rounds. They first sensationally defeated Manchester City at home and then triumphed over Bournemouth away. Notably, in their last six league matches, the club only lost to Liverpool (1-2), achieving four wins and one draw. These results have solidified their position in fifth place, with Brighton trailing third-placed Chelsea only due to a worse goal difference.
Midfielder Carlos Baleba will not play due to suspension.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the club's last 8 Premier League games.
- At least three goals were scored in 7 of Brighton's last 8 league matches.
- The number "2" appeared in the final scoreline in 7 of the club's last 8 Premier League matches.
- The team opened the scoring in 6 of their last 8 Premier League games.
Southampton
After securing their first win of the current league season against Everton (1-0), the team suffered defeats in the next two rounds. They first lost away to Wolverhampton (0-2) and then, despite leading during the match, fell short against Liverpool at home, losing 2-3. It's worth noting that Russell Martin's side has lost 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches. These results have kept the team in the relegation zone, with their gap to the safety of 17th place now extending to five points. Additionally, Southampton has the league's lowest scoring tally, with just 9 goals.
- The club has secured just one win in their last 25 Premier League encounters (5 draws and 19 losses).
- Southampton failed to score in the first 45 minutes in their last seven away league matches.
- The team conceded at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 away Premier League games.
Brighton vs. Southampton: Match Prediction
The league table has a clear leader in Liverpool, but the gap between second and fifth place is just one point. Brighton is part of this quartet and could soon find themselves in second place. The club's current form is impressive, having lost only twice in 12 rounds – to Liverpool and Chelsea, both away games. At home, Fabian Hurzeler's side remains unbeaten in the current league season (3 wins and 3 draws).
Interestingly, Brighton has defeated top clubs at the Amex this season but dropped points against weaker opponents. They have conceded in 7 of their last 8 home Premier League matches. It's likely that even the league's bottom team will manage to score at least once. Southampton has lost their last nine away Premier League encounters. The team consistently concedes, often allowing two or more goals, yet they have also scored in 7 of their last 10 away league games.
I believe the hosts will come out on top in this match, but both teams will score. Incidentally, both clubs have exchanged goals in their last seven Premier League meetings. My prediction – Brighton to win and both teams to score – yes
