The Matchday 6 fixture of the group stage of the 2025/26 Champions League between Bayern (Germany) and Sporting (Portugal) will take place on December 9 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bayern vs Sporting: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayern
In the previous round, Vincent Kompany's side suffered a 1-3 defeat away to Arsenal, registering their first loss of the season across all competitions. Nevertheless, Bayern extended their scoring streak in the Champions League to 12 matches, although the club failed to keep a clean sheet in six of their last seven games in the competition. In the group standings, Munich sit high with 12 points, occupying third place. It is also worth noting that Bayern have never been beaten at home by Portuguese opposition in European competition (13 wins, 2 draws).
- The club has won 7 of their last 9 home matches in the Champions League.
- At least three goals were scored in 5 of the team’s previous 6 home matches in this competition.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Bayern’s last 7 Champions League fixtures.
Predicted lineup Bayern (4-5-1)
Manuel Neuer – Konrad Laimer, Jonathan Tah, Dayot Upamecano, Josip Stanisic – Michael Olise, Joshua Kimmich, Lennart Karl, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Serge Gnabry – Harry Kane.
Midfielder Jamal Musiala will miss the match through injury. Forward Luis Díaz is suspended.
Sporting
Last time out the Lisbon side recorded a convincing 3-0 home victory over Club Brugge. As a result, Sporting notched only their third win in 11 recent Champions League matches (3 draws, 5 defeats). Furthermore, the club kept a clean sheet for the first time in this season’s competition. In the group table, the Portuguese have 10 points and sit in eighth place. It is also worth noting that Sporting have scored in each of their last 21 group-stage or main-stage European matches and opened the scoring in 4 of their 5 games in the current Champions League campaign.
- The club has not won in 8 of their last 9 away matches in the Champions League (4 draws, 4 losses).
- No more than three goals were scored in eight of the team's previous away fixtures in this competition.
- The Portuguese scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 8 of their last 9 Champions League away matches.
Predicted lineup Sporting (4-5-1)
Rui Silva – Ivan Fresneda, Eduardo Quaresma, Ousmane Diomandé, Ricardo Mangas – Morten Yulmann, Joao Simoesh, Salvador Blopa, Alisson Santos, Maximiliano Araujo – Luis Suárez.
Defender Zeno Debast, midfielders Giovani Kenda, Pedro Gonçalves, Daniel Bragança and forwards Francisco Trincão and Nuno Santos are injured. The participation of defenders Georgios Vayanidis and Gonçalo Inácio, as well as forward Zheni Katamu, is doubtful.
Referee
Nicholas Walsh (Scotland)
Matches – 7 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 57%.
Prediction for Bayern vs Sporting
With their European experience and squad quality, Bayern rarely struggle to break down an opponent at least once. At home the club score regularly and prolifically: Bayern have found the net in each of their last 12 Champions League home matches, and on five occasions during that run they scored three or more goals. Conversely, their defensive form is not flawless — in their six previous home games in this competition the Bavarians kept a clean sheet only twice.
Sporting tend to play boldly even away from home, which often pays off in attack. In their last ten Champions League away fixtures the Portuguese failed to score only once, and in this season's campaign they scored in away ties against Napoli and Juventus. At the same time, Sporting have been vulnerable at the back: they conceded in 7 of their last 9 Champions League away matches.
I expect a meeting between two attacking sides to deliver goals at both ends. My prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
