The DFB-Pokal quarter-final match between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and St. Pauli will take place on 3 february at BayArena in Leverkusen. Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs St. Pauli: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen won away against Borussia Dortmund (1:0) in the previous round. It is worth noting that for the first time in the current edition of the competition the home side scored fewer than four goals. At the same time, Bayer 04 Leverkusen kept a clean sheet for the seventh time in their last 10 DFB-Pokal matches. The club has reached the quarter-finals for the third consecutive season and has progressed further at this stage each time.
- At least three goals were scored in 5 of Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 7 national cup matches.
- The club has a run of 5 wins at home in this competition.
- The team conceded in 7 of the previous 9 home DFB-Pokal matches.
Potential Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineup (3-4-3)*
Mark Flekken – Jarrell Quansah, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba – Alejandro Grimaldo, Aleix Garcia, Jonas Hofmann, Martin Terrier – Ibrahim Maza, Kristijan Kofan, Ernest Poku.
St. Pauli
St. Pauli also eliminated a Bundesliga representative in the previous round, beating Borussia Mönchengladbach (2:1). That victory was the club's first win in regular time in their last four DFB-Pokal matches (2 draws, 1 defeat). The visitors' runs in this competition are usually short, but the team regularly finds the net: they scored in 18 of their last 19 matches. St. Pauli reached the quarter-finals for the third time in five seasons, but they have not yet managed to progress beyond this stage in the current span.
- Both teams scored in 7 of St. Pauli's last 8 national cup matches.
- Away in this tournament the club avoided defeat after 90 minutes in 6 of their last 7 matches (3 wins and 3 draws).
- In 9 of the previous 10 away DFB-Pokal matches the visitors did not concede more than two goals.
Potential St. Pauli Lineup (3-5-2)*
Nikola Vasilj – Eric Smith, Karol Mets, Hauke Wahl – Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Luis Oppi, Jackson Irvine – Matias Pereira Lage, Maarten Kars.
Referee
Florian Badstuebner (Germany)
Matches – 6 (the DFB-Pokal, 2023/24 - 2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards Shown (including second yellows) – 23;
Average Yellow Cards Per Match – 3.8;
Red Cards Shown – 2;
Fouls Average Per Match – 20;
Penalty Rate – 50%.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Vs St. Pauli: Match Prediction
Since their return to the Bundesliga the visitors have met Bayer 04 Leverkusen three times and managed only one draw (2 defeats). It is unlikely they will expect a positive result in the national cup either. St. Pauli's rare successes in this competition have usually come against lower-division opponents, and the club has conceded even to such teams. However, it should be noted that the away side's defence currently looks solid, having conceded more than one goal in only two of their last nine official matches.
The home side rarely slips up at home in the DFB-Pokal. In their last 10 home matches in this competition they have recorded 9 wins (1 draw). We also note Bayer 04 Leverkusen's reliable defensive displays, keeping a clean sheet in 7 of their previous 10 national cup matches. We believe Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be able to contain the opponent's attack, which ranks among the three worst in the Bundesliga-2025/26.
Prediction: Bayer 04 Leverkusen Win And Under 3.5 goals
* The starting lineup for each team is taken from its previous match in this tournament.
