The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League Round of 16 between Bayer Leverkusen (Germany) and Bayern Munich (Germany) will take place on March 11 at the BayArena in Leverkusen. The score of the first match is 3-0 in favor of Bayern. Bayer Leverkusen vs. Bayern Munich: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen's team ended their six-match unbeaten streak against Bayern in official matches with a defeat in the first game, with a score that will be very difficult to overturn – 0-3. To advance to the quarter-finals, Bayer needs to win in regular time by at least four goals. However, Xabi Alonso's team has managed to secure two such victories in the current tournament. Additionally, the club's goal-scoring streak in the Champions League of four matches was also halted in the last game.
- At least one opponent has failed to score in 8 of Leverkusen's last 10 Champions League matches.
- Bayer is unbeaten at home in this tournament for 5 games (4 wins, 1 draw).
- The team has not conceded a goal in their last five home Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup for Bayer Leverkusen (4-3-3)
Matej Kovar – Alejandro Grimaldo, Arthur, Jonathan Tah, Mario Hermoso – Exequiel Palacios, Jeremie Frimpong, Granit Xhaka – Nathan Tella, Amine Adli, Patrik Schick.
Defender Nordi Mukiele will miss the match due to suspension.
Bayern Munich
Munich's team secured a comfortable advantage before the second leg. In the upcoming match, Vincent Kompany's side would be satisfied even with a two-goal defeat. In this tournament, Bayern has been defeated three times (7 wins, 1 draw), with two of those losses by a three-goal margin. If such a result is repeated, the opponents will face extra time. Additionally, Bayern kept a clean sheet in Leverkusen for the first time in their last six Champions League games.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Munich's last 6 Champions League matches.
- The club has not won in 6 of their last 8 away matches in this tournament (1 draw, 5 losses).
- Bayern has conceded in their last 8 away games in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Bayern Munich (4-5-1)
Jonas Urbig – Raphael Guerreiro, Dayot Upamecano, Kim Min-jae, Konrad Laimer – Kingsley Coman, Michael Olise, Leon Goretzka, Jamal Musiala, Joshua Kimmich – Harry Kane.
Goalkeeper Manuel Neuer is injured. Midfielder Alexander Pavlovich is unavailable due to illness.
Referee
Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 36;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 10%.
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Bayern Munich: Match Prediction
Vincent Kompany has learned from the unsuccessful encounter with Leverkusen in the league. In the previous game, Bayern dominated the statistics and achieved a deserved victory. However, Bayer had a significant advantage over their opponent at home a month ago. The home ground should help Xabi Alonso's team, if not overturn the outcome of the tie, then at least end their Champions League season with dignity.
Leverkusen is unbeaten at home in the Champions League for 5 matches, securing 4 victories. Furthermore, Bayer has not lost to Bayern in three consecutive Bundesliga meetings at home. Munich, on the other hand, does not pose a formidable threat away from home: the team has not won in 6 of their last 8 away matches in the Champions League (1 draw, 5 losses).
Xabi Alonso's team has no choice but to attack. Although they score sparingly at home in the Champions League, they do so regularly: in 9 of their last 12 matches. Bayern's defense is not reliable, having conceded in their last 8 away matches in this tournament. At the same time, Bayer's exposed defense will provide Munich with opportunities to score.
My prediction: Bayer will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals
