The Matchday 11 clash in the Russian Premier League between Baltika and Dynamo Makhachkala will take place on October 5 at the Rostech Arena in Kaliningrad. Baltika vs. Dynamo Makhachkala: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Baltika
In the last round, the Kaliningrad side conceded a last-minute goal to CSKA (0-1), suffering their first defeat of the current championship (4 wins, 5 draws). However, the team has failed to score in three consecutive Premier League matches. Against CSKA, Andrey Talalaev's team was modest in attack, registering only two shots on target (average of 5). Before this match, Baltika had not conceded in four Premier League games. In the standings, the team has dropped to 6th place.
- No more than two goals have been scored in Baltika's last 7 RPL matches.
- At home, the club has not lost in 8 of their last 10 league games (4 wins, 4 draws).
- In 4 of their last 5 home matches in this tournament, Baltika has not scored more than once.
Projected lineup for Baltika (4-5-1)
Maxim Borisko – Sergey Varatynov, Nathan Gassama, Alexander Filin, Mingiyan Beveev – Vladislav Saus, Sergey Pryakhin, Ilya Petrov, Nikolay Titkov, Maxim Petrov – Bryan Gil.
Midfielder Andrey Mendel is injured. Defender Kevin Andrade is suspended.
Dynamo Makhachkala
In the last round, the Makhachkala side drew 0-0 at home with Sochi. Hasanbi Bidzhiyev's team has failed to win 6 of their last 7 league matches (3 draws, 3 losses) and has scored only three goals during this period. Dynamo has only 5 goals in the RPL 2025/26, the worst tally in the league. Notably, against Sochi, the club recorded their best corner kick numbers of the season – 8 (average of 3.5). In the standings, the team is in 12th place.
- At least one opponent has failed to score in 5 of Dynamo's last 6 Premier League matches.
- Away, the team has lost 6 of their last 8 league matches (2 draws).
- The club has conceded in 11 consecutive away games in this tournament.
Projected lineup for Dynamo Makhachkala (4-5-1)
David Volk – Temirkan Sundukov, Mutalip Alibekov, Jemal Tabidze, Idar Shumakhov – Nikita Glushkov, Mohamed Azzi, Mohammadjavad Hosseinejad, Ussem Mrezig, Hazem Masturi – Hamid Agalarov.
Defender Jan Djapo and midfielder Mehdi El-Mubarak are in the team's infirmary.
Referee
Aleksei Sukhoi (Russia)
Matches – 22 (RPL, 2024/25 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 104;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 45%.
Baltika vs. Dynamo Makhachkala: Match Prediction
Baltika suffered a disappointing defeat in the last round, but the team should be satisfied with their progress in the championship. They trail the leading CSKA by only 4 points, and Baltika boasts the best defensive record in the tournament. I am confident the club will earn points in the upcoming game, as their next opponent has not impressed on the road. Makhachkala is among the three worst away teams in the current championship. Moreover, Dynamo has not won in 8 away RPL matches (2 draws, 6 losses).
Hasanbi Bidzhiyev's team regularly concedes, but they generally avoid defensive collapses. The club has not conceded more than one goal in 5 of their last 7 away Premier League matches, and Baltika, who have not scored in three consecutive matches in this tournament, will find it difficult to break such a defense. Meanwhile, Dynamo looks very modest in attack: only one goal in five away games in the RPL 2025/26. In the last round, the team even failed to penetrate the league's most unreliable defense.
My prediction: Baltika will not lose and Total under 2.5 goals
