The Matchday 32 clash in Ligue 1 between Auxerre and Le Havre will take place on May 4 at the Stade Abbé-Deschamps. Auxerre vs. Le Havre: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Auxerre
In the previous round, the team pulled off a surprise by thrashing Lens 4-0 away from home. Notably, the club kept a clean sheet for the tenth time in the current championship. It's also worth mentioning that in their home matches this Ligue 1 season, Auxerre has conceded the fewest goals – just 14 (even PSG has a worse record with 15). Christophe Pélissier's side is in 10th place in the standings and is not competing for European spots or battling for survival.
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Auxerre's scoring streak in Ligue 1 stands at 7 matches.
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The club has not lost in 11 of their last 13 home games in the championship (6 wins, 5 draws).
Predicted lineup for Auxerre (5-4-1)
Donovan Léon – Ki-Jana Hoever, Sinaly Diomandé, Jubal, Clément Akpa, Gideon Mensah – Gaëtan Perrin, Han-Noah Massengo, Assane Dioussé, Ado Onaiwu – Lassine Sinayoko.
Le Havre
The team is fighting for survival and managed to take points from Monaco, who are in the Champions League zone, at home in the last round (1-1). Despite this local success, Le Havre remains in the relegation playoff zone – in 16th place. The club is only one point away from the relegation zone and two points behind the safe 15th spot. It's also worth mentioning that the schedule is not favorable for Didier Digard's side: they face Marseille and Strasbourg at the end of the season, so the match against an unmotivated Auxerre is perhaps their last real chance to add to their points tally.
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Le Havre's scoring streak in the championship is 12 matches.
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At least three goals have been scored in 8 of the team's last 11 matches in Ligue 1.
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The club has conceded in 8 of their last 9 away matches in the championship, including at least twice in five of those games.
Predicted lineup for Le Havre (4-5-1)
Mathieu Gorgelin – Loïc Nego, Etienne Kinkoue, Gautier Lloris, Fodé Ballo-Touré – Abdoulaye Touré, Yassine Kechta, Junior Mwanga, Josué Casimir, Issa Soumaré – Ahmed Hassan.
Referee
Jérémy Pignard (France)
Matches – 16 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 70;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 19%.
Auxerre vs. Le Havre: Match Prediction
Le Havre is cornered. The team, on a winless streak, risks relegation or entering playoff matches. In such circumstances, the match against Auxerre, who are not fighting for anything, is a very real chance to improve their standings. Furthermore, with the onset of spring, the team has noticeably revived, collecting 11 points out of a possible 24 in the last eight Ligue 1 rounds. Additionally, Le Havre has scored in 12 consecutive matches in the championship, which is quite an achievement for an obvious underdog.
Auxerre, on the other hand, can afford to relax at the end of the season, as they are significantly behind the European spots and well clear of the playoff zone. The team lacks tournament motivation. Furthermore, they have conceded six goals in the last three matches, which may indicate a decline in the players' form. Meanwhile, Le Havre has scored in ten previous away games in the championship, and in the first-round meeting, they scored three times against Auxerre.
I believe that the impressive scoring streak of the visitors will not end in such a crucial match for them, so my prediction: Le Havre Individual Total Over 0.5
