The Matchday 36 Serie A clash between Atalanta and Roma will take place on May 12 at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo. Atalanta vs. Roma: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atalanta
In the previous round, Gian Piero Gasperini's side had no trouble in their away encounter with Monza, winning 4-0. This marked Atalanta's fourth consecutive unbeaten match in the league (3 wins, 1 draw). Furthermore, it was the eighth time this Serie A season that the team secured a victory with a large margin. In the standings, the Bergamo side has accumulated 68 points and remains in third place. It's also noteworthy that the club has scored 71 goals in the current championship, second only to Inter's 73.
- The team has not won in 8 of their last 9 home matches in Serie A (5 draws, 3 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in seven of the club's previous home league games.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 5 of Atalanta's last 6 home matches in Serie A.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-4-3)
Marco Carnesecchi – Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Odilon Kossounou – Raoul Bellanova, Marten de Roon, Ederson Lourenco, Davide Zappacosta – Mario Pasalic, Mateo Retegui, Ademola Lookman.
Defenders Sead Kolasinac and Giorgio Scalvini, midfielder Juan Cuadrado, and forward Gianluca Scamacca will miss the game due to injuries. Defender Isak Hien is suspended.
Roma
Claudio Ranieri's side triumphed over Fiorentina at home in the last round with a 1-0 victory. As a result, Roma extended their unbeaten run in Serie A to 19 matches (14 wins, 5 draws). This is the club's longest unbeaten streak in the league since 2016. Additionally, the team has won 1-0 for the ninth time in the current Serie A campaign. The Romans have accumulated 63 points and are in fifth place in the standings, trailing Juventus, who are fourth, only on additional criteria. It's worth noting that Roma has conceded just 32 goals this season – only two clubs have a better record.
- The club has not lost in their last eight away matches in Serie A (6 wins, 2 draws).
- The team scored exactly one or two goals in their last eight away league matches.
- No more than two goals have been scored in Roma's last six away Serie A games.
Predicted lineup for Roma (3-4-3)
Mile Svilar – Mehmet Zeki Celik, Gianluca Mancini, Evan Ndicka – Angeliño, Manu Koné, Bryan Cristante, Lorenzo Pellegrini – Matias Soulé, Eldor Shomurodov, Artem Dovbyk.
Midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini and forward Paulo Dybala will miss the match due to injury.
Referee
Simone Sozza (Italy)
Matches – 16 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 58;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 50%.
Match Prediction for Atalanta vs. Roma
Gian Piero Gasperini's side will find it challenging to break down Roma's defense. Atalanta has not impressed in recent home matches (just one win in their last nine Serie A games) and has particularly struggled in attack. In 6 of their last 7 home league matches, Atalanta has not scored more than one goal, failing to score at all in four of those games.
Roma is in excellent form and has been particularly strong in away matches. The team focuses on solid defense and doesn't allow opponents many chances: in their last seven Serie A away matches, Roma has not conceded more than one goal, keeping clean sheets in five of those games. Moreover, only four times this season have they conceded at least two goals in away matches.
I expect another strong defensive performance from Roma and don't think Atalanta will shine in attack. My prediction: Atalanta Individual Total Under 1.5
