The match of matchday 18 of the Serie A between Atalanta and Roma will take place on 3 january at New Balance Arena. Atalanta vs Roma: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Atalanta
In the previous round Atalanta were weaker than Inter in the home encounter (0:1). As a result, the home side suffered their fifth defeat in the last eight Serie A matches (3 wins), and for the first time in six previous league games failed to score. In addition, the team failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of the previous 10 Serie A matches. In the standings the club, with 22 points, are in tenth place.
- The club has not lost in 7 of the last 9 home Serie A matches (3 wins, 4 draws).
- A maximum of two goals were scored in 5 of the last 7 home league matches for the side.
- The home side did not concede more than one goal in 8 of the last 9 home Serie A matches.
Potential Atalanta Lineup (3-4-3)*
Marco Carnesecchi – Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac – Nicola Zalewski, Ederson, Marten de Roon, Davide Zappacosta – Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Mario Pasalic.
Defender Giorgio Scalvini is unavailable due to injury. In addition, due to participation in the Africa Cup of Nations defender Odilon Kossounou and forward Ademola Lookman are absent.
Roma
In the previous round Roma defeated Genoa 3:1 at home. It was the club's 11th win of the current championship. In addition, the side scored more than two goals only for the second time in this Serie A campaign. At the same time, the club has the best defence in the current championship – 11 goals conceded. The club have accumulated 33 points and sit fourth in the standings.
- The club did not win in 15 of the last 19 away Serie A matches (12 losses, 3 draws).
- The team failed to score more than once in 6 of the previous 8 away league matches.
- A maximum of two goals were scored in 12 of the last 16 away Serie A matches.
Potential Roma Lineup (3-4-3)*
Mile Svilar – Jan Zelkowski, Gianluca Mancini, Zeki Celik – Wesley Fransa, Kouadio Kone, Bryan Cristante, Mario Hermoso – Matias Soule, Paulo Dybala, Evan Ferguson.
Midfielders Lorenzo Pellegrini and Tommaso Baldanzi, as well as forward Leon, will miss the match through injury. In addition, due to participation in the Africa Cup of Nations defender Evan Ndicka and midfielder Nel El-Enawy are absent.
Referee
Mikael Fabbri (Italy)
Matches – 5 (the Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow/red cards shown (including second yellow) – 21;
Average yellow/red cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 20%.
Atalanta vs Roma: Match Prediction
This season has been difficult for the home side, and one of the most notable problems has been attacking play. Even at home Atalanta regularly struggle to break down opponents' defences: in nine home matches in the current Serie A campaign the side have surpassed the one-goal mark only three times. In addition, on three occasions during that run the team failed to score at all.
Roma rely on cautious football and try to dedicate as much time as possible to solid defensive play. This approach often helps to protect their goal and prevent opponents from creating many chances: in the last 17 away league matches the club have conceded more than one goal only twice and kept nine clean sheets. Moreover, as noted above, the club has conceded the fewest goals in the current Serie A season.
We do not think the hosts will be able to score more than one goal in this match. Our prediction: Atalanta individual total under 1.5.
Prediction: Atalanta Individual Total Under 1.5
* The starting lineup for each team is shown from their previous match in this competition.
