The Serie A Round 17 meeting between Atalanta and Inter will take place on December 28 at the New Balance Arena in Bergamo. Atalanta vs Inter: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atalanta
In the previous round, Raffaele Palladino's side defeated Genoa 1-0 away. It is worth noting the club played with a numerical advantage from the third minute, but only found the breakthrough in the final moments. That win was Atalanta's third in four league games (one defeat). The team kept a clean sheet for only the second time in their last nine Serie A matches. In the table, the Bergamaschi have 22 points and sit ninth.
- The club is unbeaten in seven of their last eight home Serie A matches (3 wins, 4 draws).
- Both teams scored in 8 of the team's previous 11 home league fixtures.
- Atalanta have conceded more than one goal in only one of their last eight home Serie A games.
Predicted Atalanta lineup (3-4-3)*
Marco Carnesecchi – Marten de Roon, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac – Lorenzo Bernasconi, Ederson, Daniel Maldini, Davide Zappacosta – Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Yunus Musah.
Defenders Berat Djimsiti and Raul Bellanova are unavailable through injury. In addition, Odilon Kossounou and Ademola Lookman are absent due to Africa Cup of Nations involvement.
Inter
Christian Kivu's side missed the previous round because of their Supercoppa Italiana commitments, and before that they beat Genoa 2-1 away. That was Inter's 11th win of the season, and only the fourth time the club have won while conceding a goal. The team have failed to keep a clean sheet just twice in their last five Serie A matches. The Milan side lead the scoring charts this season with 34 goals. Inter have 33 points and top the table.
- The team have won 7 of their last 9 away Serie A fixtures.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of the club's 6 previous away league matches.
- Inter have conceded more than one goal in only 2 of their last 10 away Serie A games.
Predicted Inter lineup (3-5-2)*
Jan Sommer – Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni, Yann Bisseck – Luis Enrique, Piotr Zielinski, Nicolò Barella, Petar Sucic, Carlos Augusto – Lautaro Martinez, Francesco Esposito.
Defender Francesco Acerbi, Denzel Dumfries and striker Ange-Yoan Bonny will miss out through injury.
Referee
Federico La Penna (Italy)
Matches – 6 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 17%.
Prediction for Atalanta vs Inter
Both sides possess potent attacking options and boast strong scoring records. Atalanta rarely fail to find the net at home: in their last 12 Serie A home games they failed to score only twice. Since Raffaele Palladino's appointment, the Bergamaschi have scored four goals in two home league matches.
Inter's attack looks imposing this season: Christian Kivu's side lead the league with 34 goals, ten more than nearest challengers Milan. Playing away has rarely been a barrier to their forward line – in their last nine league away matches the team have always scored, and in seven of those fixtures they found the net at least twice.
I expect both teams to produce effective attacking displays, so my prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
* The starting XI shown for each team is taken from their last match in this competition.
