The Matchday 7 Premier League fixture between Aston Villa and Burnley will be held on October 5 at Villa Park in Birmingham. Aston Villa vs. Burnley: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Aston Villa
In their last match, the team defeated Fulham 3-1 at home, ending a six-game winless streak in the league (3 draws, 3 losses). Additionally, this was the first time in 11 Premier League matches that the Birmingham side scored more than two goals. However, in the 2025/26 Premier League season, the club has only four goals to its name, a tally that no other team has done worse. With three points gained, Aston Villa climbed to 16th in the standings.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 8 of Aston Villa's last 10 league matches.
- The team has not lost in 20 of their last 21 Premier League home games (12 wins, 8 draws).
- In 7 of their last 8 home matches in this tournament, the club has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Aston Villa (4-3-3)
Emiliano Martinez – Tyrone Mings, Matty Cash, Lucas Digne, Lamar Bogarde – Ezri Konsa, John McGinn, Harvey Elliott – Ollie Watkins, Morgan Rogers, Evan Guessan.
Midfielders Amadou Onana, Ross Barkley, Youri Tielemans, and defenders Tyrone Mings, Andres Garcia will miss the match due to injuries.
Burnley
The trip to Manchester City resulted in a 1-5 defeat for Scott Parker's side. This was the second time this season that Burnley lost by a large margin, and overall, it was their fourth defeat since returning to the Premier League (1 win, 1 draw). However, the club has scored in four matches. In the main standings, the team occupies the 18th position.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 6 of Burnley's last 8 Premier League games.
- The team has lost 5 of their last 7 away matches in the league (1 win, 1 draw).
- The club has conceded in 13 consecutive away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Burnley (4-3-3)
Martin Dubravka – Kyle Walker, Quilindschy Hartman, Maxime Estève, Hjalmar Ekdal – Joshua Laurent, Josh Cullen, Florentino – Jaidon Anthony, Lyle Foster, Lume Chauna.
Referee
Andrew Kitchen (England)
Matches – 5 (Championship, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 14;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.8;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 20%.
Aston Villa vs. Burnley: Match Prediction
The Birmingham side managed to break their losing streak in the previous round, unsurprisingly at Villa Park. At home, Unai Emery's team performs well, not losing in 20 of their last 21 Premier League matches, achieving 12 victories. The only defeat in this stretch was against Crystal Palace, who are having an excellent season.
Burnley's last two away Premier League matches were in Manchester, where they conceded a total of 8 goals. The team has defensive issues, failing to keep a clean sheet in 13 consecutive away Premier League matches, and in 10 of these games, Burnley conceded at least twice. With such a defense, it's difficult to expect points, and during this period, the team suffered 10 defeats.
My prediction: Aston Villa to win and Total Over 1.5 goals
