The Matchday 11 Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Bournemouth will take place on November 9 at Villa Park in Birmingham. Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Aston Villa
The Birmingham side went two months without a defeat in the Premier League, during which they drew twice and won four times. However, this streak ended in the last round with a 0-2 away defeat to Liverpool. Unai Emery's team was immediately dropped to 11th place, but they are only three points away from the European competition zone. It's also worth noting that their matches are the least high-scoring in the league, averaging 1.9 goals.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 10 of Aston Villa's last 14 Premier League matches.
- At home, the Birmingham side has suffered only one defeat in their last 23 Premier League games (14 wins, 8 draws).
- The team has conceded no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 home Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Aston Villa (4-3-3)
Emiliano Martinez – Ezri Konsa, Lucas Digne, Matty Cash, Pau Torres – Amadou Onana, Boubacar Kamara, John McGinn – Morgan Rogers, Evann Guessand, Ollie Watkins.
Defenders Tyrone Mings and Andres Garcia are out due to injuries.
Bournemouth
Andoni Iraola's side played a decent away match against Manchester City but still lost 1-3. As a result, the team lost their second place but remained in the European competition zone, settling in fifth place. Their impressive eight-match unbeaten run in the league, during which they secured five wins and three draws, also came to an end. It's also noteworthy that matches involving Bournemouth are among the most entertaining, averaging 3.1 goals.
- At least 4 goals have been scored in 4 of the team's last 5 Premier League games.
- Bournemouth has only two wins in their last 10 away Premier League matches – 5 draws and 3 losses.
- Both teams scored in 13 of Bournemouth's last 15 away league matches.
Predicted lineup for Bournemouth (4-2-3-1)
Djorde Petrovic – Bafode Diakite, Marcos Senesi, Adrien Truffert, Alejandro Jimenez – David Brooks, Alex Scott – Marcus Tavernier, Antoine Semenyo, Tyler Adams – Eli Junior Kroupi.
Referee
John Brooks (England)
Matches – 19 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 89;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 21%.
Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth: Match Prediction
The hosts are slight favorites in the upcoming match, which is understandable. The Birmingham side is incredibly strong at Villa Park, having lost only to Crystal Palace (0-3) in their last 23 Premier League matches there. Aston Villa has only failed to score in two of their last 20 home league games, but they often concede as well – this has happened in 12 of their last 16 Premier League matches. So, it is likely that Unai Emery's side will score, but they may not keep a clean sheet.
Bournemouth is in excellent form, with only Manchester City managing to stop them. The team is very productive and has scored in 11 of their last 12 Premier League games. However, they also concede regularly, especially away – in 13 of their last 15 away league matches. It's highly probable that there will be at least 3 goals in this match, as has been the case in 4 of the last 5 encounters at this stadium in the Premier League.
My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
