The first leg of the 2024/25 Champions League semi-final between Arsenal (England) and PSG (France) will take place on April 29 at the Emirates Stadium in London. Arsenal vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Arsenal
The English side knocked out the defending champions for the second time in their history. In the previous round, Mikel Arteta's team defeated Real Madrid twice (3-0, 2-1), extending their unbeaten run in the Champions League to eight matches (7 wins, 1 draw). Moreover, Arsenal scored at least two goals in each of these games, and they have now netted 30 goals – only three clubs have a higher tally in this season's Champions League. These are record figures for the Londoners in the tournament's history. Note that the team last reached the semi-finals in the 2008/09 season.
- At least three goals have been scored in Arsenal's last eight Champions League matches.
- The team has won 5 of their last 6 home matches in the Champions League (1 draw).
- Arsenal kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Arsenal (4-3-3)
David Raya – Myles Lewis-Skelly, Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Jakub Kiwior – Mikel Merino, Declan Rice, Martin Odegaard – Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Martinelli, Leandro Trossard.
Midfielder Thomas Partey will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Forwards Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus, midfielder Jorginho, and defenders Riccardo Calafiori, Gabriel Magalhaes, and Takehiro Tomiyasu are out due to injuries.
PSG
The French side has reached the Champions League semi-finals for the second consecutive time. In the previous round, Luis Enrique's team overcame Aston Villa (3-1, 2-3), with the loss in the second leg being only their second in the last nine Champions League games (7 wins). Furthermore, PSG conceded more than two goals for the first time in the current tournament. The Parisians have also reached 30 goals – a record for French teams. Notably, no other French club has reached the Champions League semi-finals more times than PSG (5).
The team is preparing for the match at full strength.
- PSG has scored at least twice in 7 of their last 9 Champions League games.
- In 5 of their last 6 away matches in this tournament, PSG conceded no more than one goal.
- PSG has not drawn in their last 10 away matches in the Champions League (6 wins, 4 losses).
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Desire Doue, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembele.
Referee
Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)
Matches – 13 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 49;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 15%.
Arsenal vs. PSG: Match Prediction
The opponents met in the group stage of this Champions League in London, where the hosts won 2-0. PSG had a slow start to the tournament but have since found excellent form and are scoring consistently. Since that game, the French side has failed to score in only two of their 12 Champions League matches, and now PSG, along with Arsenal, ranks among the top five most prolific clubs in the current Champions League campaign. Additionally, Luis Enrique's team has a five-match scoring streak in away Champions League games.
The British side is also showing excellent attacking results. In the 2024/25 Champions League, Mikel Arteta's team has scored in 10 of 12 matches, and the club last failed to score at home in this tournament back in 2016. However, the previously exemplary defense of the Londoners has started to falter, conceding in 4 of their last 5 Champions League matches.
Both teams are fully focused on the Champions League: the Londoners have lost their title chances, while PSG has already secured victory in Ligue 1. Therefore, nothing should prevent these vibrant and attacking teams from delivering a high-scoring game. My prediction: Both teams to score – yes
