The Premier League Matchday 29 clash between Arsenal and Chelsea will take place on March 16 at the Emirates Stadium in London. Arsenal vs. Chelsea: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Arsenal
Despite their successes in the Champions League, the Londoners have encountered some issues in the Premier League. Mikel Arteta's side has not won in three consecutive matches, scoring only once during this period. They lost at home to West Ham (0-1), drew away with Nottingham Forest (0-0), and Manchester United (1-1). Arsenal remains second in the standings but has fallen 15 points behind leaders Liverpool.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 7 of Arsenal's last 9 Premier League matches.
- Arsenal has lost only once in their last 18 league games (10 wins and 7 draws).
- No more than one goal has been scored in the first half of 7 of Arsenal's last 8 home Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Arsenal (4-3-3)
David Raya – Riccardo Calafiori, Gabriel Magalhães, William Saliba, Jurrien Timber – Thomas Partey, Declan Rice, Martin Ødegaard – Mikel Merino, Ethan Nwaneri, Leandro Trossard.
Chelsea
The team capitalized on a favorable schedule, securing two home victories against lower-ranked opponents. Under Enzo Maresca, they thrashed Southampton (4-0) and overcame Leicester (1-0). This allowed Chelsea to return to the Champions League spots and gain a two-point lead over their closest rivals in the race for a top-four finish. Notably, the club has scored 53 goals, the third-highest in the Premier League.
- The club has failed to win in 8 of their last 12 Premier League matches (3 draws and 5 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Chelsea's last 8 league matches.
- Chelsea has not scored in the second half of their last six away Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Chelsea (4-2-3-1)
Robert Sánchez – Levi Colwill, Tosin Adarabioyo, Marc Cucurella, Wesley Fofana – Enzo Fernández, Moisés Caicedo – Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Jadon Sancho – Christopher Nkunku.
Forward Mykhailo Mudryk remains suspended due to a failed doping test.
Referee
Chris Kavanagh (England)
Matches – 18 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 92;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.1;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 17%.
Arsenal vs. Chelsea: Match Prediction
Before the unexpected defeat to West Ham, Arsenal had not lost at home in the league for 15 matches, securing 11 wins and 4 draws. Mikel Arteta's side will aim to bounce back from the disappointing loss against their local rivals, as they need to maintain their lead over the closest challengers in the top-four battle. I predict the hosts will win the derby, as Chelsea currently appears unsteady, with their last two victories coming against clear underdogs.
Arsenal also has the statistical advantage in head-to-head Premier League encounters. In the last six meetings, Arsenal won four times, with two draws. Additionally, Arteta's team has convincingly defeated their London rivals at home in the last two league matches (5-0 and 3-1). Chelsea's current away form is also noteworthy, having collected only two points from their last six Premier League away games, scoring just three goals in the process.
My prediction – Arsenal to Win
